Saturday, 17 August 2013

When should we use combination and when should we use ratios to determine probability?

When should we use combination and when should we use ratios to determine
probability?

So I have this question:
a box contains 8 balls
2 red and 6 black, 2 balls are drawn in succession and with replacement
the answer is:
(2/8)(2/8) + (6/8)(6/8)
now, i have another question:
3 balls are drawn in succession we have 3 white 4 red and 5 green balls,
we win 1 dollar when we get a white ball and lose 1 dollar when we get a
red ball and 0 if we get a green ball.
what's the probability of getting 0 dollars?
I did this thinking the problem was of the same type:
we need 3 green or 1 white, 1 red and 1 green without replacement
(5/12)(4/11)(3/10) + (3/12)(4/11)(5/10)
however, this is false.
notice how we could word the question almost the same way.

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